NFL Week 4 odds, picks

Post sports gambling editor/producer and digital sports editor Matt Ehalt is in his first season in the Bettor’s Guide.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

We originally had the Steelers covering at home over the Chargers last week but swapped at the last minute to the Buccaneers laying 6.5 points to the woeful Broncos.

That went about as well as Anthony Richardson’s passing.

Anyway, this week we’ll back the Steelers as road favorites against a Colts team that is scuffling.

Indianapolis’ home win over the Bears last week barely inspired confidence, featuring one of the worst interceptions you’ll ever see from Richardson.

Facing a Steelers defense leading the league in yards allowed per game is not a rebound situation for a quarterback who is off his game.

As Richardson struggles, Justin Fields is saving his career in the Steel City, and this may be the week we truly see him show his dual-threat form against a Colts team allowing 179 rushing yards per game.

Expect Pittsburgh to win a tight one on the road.

Washington Commanders (+3.5) over ARIZONA CARDINALS

Getting the hook here has us willing to back the Commanders in the desert.

We acknowledge that Marvin Harrison Jr., if healthy, is going to go off since every No. 1 receiver to face the Commanders this year has popped — Mike Evans (six catches for 61 yards, two touchdowns), Malik Nabers (10-127-1) and Ja’Marr Chase (6-118-2). 

The flip side is the Cardinals defense isn’t poised to stop Jayden Daniels, who has led 14 straight scoring drives following Monday’s heroics against the Bengals.

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If he’s truly established a rapport with Terry McLaurin, the Commanders offense could be quite good this year.

There’s definitely a chance for an outright upset in this one, but we like Washington’s chances to keep it close regardless.

The Cardinals also may be without tight end Trey McBride, who is in concussion protocol.

Last week: 1-1. Colts (W), Buccaneers (L)
Season: 1-5.