Yankees vs. Phillies Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for July 29

It’s Monday, July 29, and the New York Yankees (62-45) are in Philadelphia to take on the Phillies (65-40) in a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. This is a clash between baseball’s best road team and baseball’s best home team.

Neither side has been playing their best in July, though. This past weekend, the Phillies lost two of three to the Cleveland Guardians while the Yankees took two of three from the Red Sox. New York is in second place in the American League East. They sit one game behind the Baltimore Orioles. The Phillies sit atop the National League East. They have an 8½ game lead over the second place Atlanta Braves.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Yankees vs. Phillies live today

● Date: Monday, July 29, 2024
● Time: 6:40PM EST
● Site: Citizens Bank Park
● City: Philadelphia, PA
● TV/Streaming: Amazon Prime, NBCSP, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Yankees vs. Phillies

The latest odds as of Monday morning:

● Money Line: Yankees +125, Phillies -150

● Spread: Yankees +1.5 (-160), Phillies -1.5 (+135)

● Over/Under: 9 runs

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Recent team stats for Yankees vs. Phillies

● The Yankees’ win Sunday clinched just their second series win in the month of July. New York is 8-13 on the Run Line in July. Despite all their struggles over the past six weeks, the Yankees are now 35-22 on the road this season. Their overall run differential is +106.

● The Phillies have gone 9-12 on the Run Line in July while posting an overall record of 10-11 for the month to date. Of late, Philadelphia is 3-7 in their last 10 overall. They are now 38-18 at Citizens Bank Park. Their overall run differential is +114.

Probable starting pitchers for New York vs. Philadelphia

● Today’s pitching matchup (July 29): Luis Gil vs. Zack Wheeler

○ Yankees: Gil (10-5, 3.10 ERA) has allowed 37 earned runs and 66 hits while striking out 124 over 107.1 innings
○ Phillies: Wheeler (10-4, 2.55 ERA) has allowed 35 earned runs and 84 hits while striking out 133 over 123.2 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees vs. Phillies on July 29, 2024

● The UNDER has cashed in the Phillies’ last 3 games

● 6 of the Yankees’ last 8 games (75%) have gone OVER the Total

● Juan Soto has at least one hit in 11 of the Yankees’ last 15 games

● The Yankees have failed to cover the Run Line in 3 straight games at Citizens Bank Park

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Monday’s Yankees vs. Phillies game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies game:

– Moneyline: NBC Sports is leaning towards the Phillies on the Money Line

– Spread: NBC Sports sees greater value in and recommends taking the Phillies on the Run Line

– Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning on playing UNDER 9 Total Runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

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– Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
– Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)