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Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction, odds, spread, start time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 8 best bets from proven model

2024-10-28 03:50:03

The Atlanta Falcons look to sweep their NFC South Division rivals this season as they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon. The Falcons (4-3) lost at home to the Seahawks in Week 7, 34-14, while the Buccaneers (4-3) lost to the Ravens at home on Monday night, 41-31. The teams most recently met in Week 5, a thrilling come-from-behind 36-30 Atlanta home victory. The Buccaneers are 4-3 against the spread, while the Falcons are 3-4 ATS in 2024.

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Atlanta is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 45.5. The Falcons are -135 money line favorites (risk $135 to win $100), while the Buccaneers are +115 underdogs. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks,  you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 12-5 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 193-134 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 47-27 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Bucs and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 8 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bucs vs. Falcons:

  • Falcons vs. Buccaneers spread: Falcons -2.5
  • Falcons vs. Buccaneers over/under: 45.5 points
  • Falcons vs. Buccaneers money line: Falcons -135, Buccaneers +115
  • Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Falcons vs. Buccaneers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Falcons can cover

Three weeks ago, Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins threw for 509 yards and four touchdowns in a stunning comeback effort by Atlanta against Tampa Bay. Top wide receiver Drake London had 12 catches for 154 yards and a score while No. 2 WR Darnell Mooney caught nine passes for 105 yards and two touchdowns. While it’s unlikely that this week’s matchup will be as high scoring as we saw earlier this month, the Falcons definitely had their way with Tampa through the air.

A key for the Falcons going forward will be the success of top running back Bijan Robinson. Over the last two games, he has rushed for a combined 198 yards and three touchdowns, achieving two of his best performances this season to date. On the season, the second-year phenom has 684 combined yards and four touchdowns, and it would be to Atlanta’s benefit if they utilized their most elusive weapon more often going forward. See which team to pick here.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay has an uphill battle after losing both of its top receivers to serious injuries on Monday night. Future Hall of Famer Mike Evans was lost to a hamstring injury in the second quarter vs. Baltimore and will miss at least the next three games. Chris Godwin, who led the team with 50 receptions and 576 yards, sustained a nasty ankle injury on the team’s final series in garbage time and will likely miss the rest of the 2024 season. But quarterback Baker Mayfield is playing well enough to overcome these crucial losses.

On the season, Mayfield has thrown for 1,859 yards and 18 touchdowns, which ranks second and first respectively in the league. Tampa Bay will utilize top running back Rachaad White as a receiving threat out of the backfield considering he had 549 yards through the air in 2023 and already 198 this season. Tight end Cade Otton, who ranks third on the team with 41 targets and 263 yards, should also expect to see more utilization at least until Evans returns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks

The model has simulated Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s Falcons vs. Buccaneers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucs vs. Falcons on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Buccaneers spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 193-134 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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