2024-08-21 10:10:02
It’s Tuesday, August 20, and the Boston Red Sox (65-59) and Houston Astros (68-56) continue their 3-game series at Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX.
Boston’s bullpen coughed up another late game lead as the Astros came from behind to win 5-4. Yainer Diaz capped the comeback and sealed the win for Houston with a walk-off HR.
The Astros now lead the American League’s West division by 5 games. The Red Sox have dropped to 4½ games back of the Kansas City Royals in the chase for the final Wild Card spot.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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● Date: Tuesday, August 20, 2024
● Time: 8:10PM EST
● Site: Minute Maid Park
● City: Houston, TX
● TV/Streaming: NESN, SCHN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
The latest odds as of Tuesday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Red Sox +100, Astros -120
● Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+165), Astros +1.5 (-200)
● Over/Under: 8.5 runs
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● Boston has lost 2 straight. They are 4-6 in their last 10. Their record away from Fenway Park is now 36-27. Their overall run differential for the season is +24.
● The Astros’ victory last night was their 10th in their last 11 games. They are 35-27 at Minute Maid Park. Houston’s overall run differential for the season is +71.
● Today’s pitching matchup (August 20): Nick Pivetta vs. Ronel Blanco
○ Red Sox: Pivetta (5-8, 4.49 ERA) has allowed 50 earned runs and 89 hits while striking out 123 over 100.1 innings
○ Astros: Blanco (9-6, 2.89 ERA) has allowed 43 earned runs and 85 hits while striking out 130 over 134 innings
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● In 8 career ABs against Nick Pivetta, Jose Altuve has 2 hits (.250)
● Houston is 5-1 in their last six but just 2-4 on the Run Line and 2-4 to the OVER in those 6 games
● Who’s Hot? Yordan Alvarez is hitting .407 in August with 22 hits in 54 ABs including 5 HRs
● Who’s Not! The Boston bullpen has blown an MLB-leading 12 saves since the All-Star Break
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Red Sox vs. Astros game:
– Moneyline: NBC Sports is recommending a play on Houston on the Moneyline
– Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on Houston on the Run Line
– Total runs: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Total OVER of 8.5 runs
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!
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– Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
– Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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