Texas vs. Georgia odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 8 predictions from proven simulation

The No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (5-1) are set to be underdogs for the first time since their 2021 season opener when they go on the road to face the No. 1 Texas Longhorns (6-0) on Saturday night. Georgia lost its No. 1 ranking when it fell to Alabama at the end of September, but it is still squarely in the College Football Playoff hunt. Texas won its sixth consecutive game to open the season when it beat then-No. 18 Oklahoma in a 34-3 final in the Red River Rivalry last week. This is the first meeting between these schools since Texas notched a 28-21 win in the 2019 Sugar Bowl.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Longhorns are 5-point favorites, per SportsLine consensus, in the latest Texas vs. Georgia odds. The over/under for total points is 57.5. Before entering any Georgia vs. Texas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks for sports betting over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it at sports betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Georgia vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines from sports betting sites for Texas vs. Georgia:

• Texas vs. Georgia spread: Texas -5
• Texas vs. Georgia over/under: 57.5 points
• Texas vs. Georgia money line: Texas -204, Georgia: +167
• Texas vs. Georgia picks: See picks here
• Texas vs. Georgia streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Texas can cover

This will be the first top-five matchup at Darrell K. Royal Stadium since 2006, so Texas will have a massive crowd advantage on Saturday night. The Longhorns remained atop the polls this week following their 34-3 win over then-No. 18 Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, giving them six wins this season by 19-plus points. Junior quarterback Quinn Ewers returned from an abdominal strain to throw for 199 yards and a touchdown while rushing for another score.

Ewers was able to overcome a sluggish start against the Sooners and establish some momentum heading into this game. Texas is riding an 11-game home winning streak and has covered the spread in five of its first six games this season, while Georgia has been overrated by the betting market, failing to cover the spread in five straight outings. The Bulldogs were blitzed by Alabama in the first half of their other top-five matchup this season, so Texas will be looking to follow a similar script early in the game on Saturday. See which team to pick here. 

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia has been inconsistent at times this season, but it crushed then-No. 14 Clemson in its season opener and nearly pulled off a massive comeback against then-No. 4 Alabama at the end of September. The Bulldogs trailed the Crimson Tide 28-0 early in the second quarter before taking a 34-33 lead in the fourth quarter. Alabama was able to score 13 seconds later to win the game, so Georgia needs to avoid another loss on Saturday. 

Senior quarterback Carson Beck has completed 67.9% of his passes for 1,818 yards and 15 touchdowns, while junior running back Trevor Etienne leads the rushing attack with 335 yards and four scores. Senior wide receiver Arian Smith has a team-high 23 receptions for 412 yards and three touchdowns. The Bulldogs have won 16 of their last 17 road games and are rarely available as betting underdogs. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Texas vs. Georgia picks

The model has simulated Georgia vs. Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread is hitting over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Georgia vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.