2024-07-16 00:15:02
Some of Major League Baseball’s top power hitters link up at Globe Life Field on Monday at 8 p.m. ET when the 2024 Home Run Derby takes place. This is a primetime showdown before the All-Star Game happens on Tuesday. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. won the Home Run Derby in 2023 with the second-highest odds (+350). Eight participants are competing this year, with the winner earning $1 million.
Pete Alonso, a two-time champion, is the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) this year. A pair of young and talented shortstops follow on the odds board with Gunnar Henderson at +380 and Bobby Witt Jr. at +425. Veterans Marcell Ozuna (+475) and Adolis Garcia (+575) follow, while Teoscar Hernandez (+1200), Jose Ramirez (+1600) and Alec Bohm (+200) are all longshots. Before locking in any 2024 MLB Home Run Derby picks, you need to see what SportsLine expert Alex Selesnick has to say.
Selesnick specializes in prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation’s No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and “The Early Edge,” the popular daily betting show. Selesnick is also SportsLine’s No. 1 MLB expert, posting a 189-127 record over his last 316 MLB player props, returning more than $2,900 for $100 players.
Now, he has studied the latest 2024 Home Run Derby odds and locked in his picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
2024 Home Run Derby expert prediction
Selesnick is staying away from Henderson in the Home Run Derby 2024 even though he has the second-lowest odds at +380. Henderson has the most home runs (28) of anyone in the 2024 Home Run Derby field, but his home run on Sunday was just his second of July. Henderson is batting .286, tied for the 23rd-best average in baseball, so his swing isn’t an “all-or-nothing” approach that often favors Home Run Derby winners.
Some players who have gone into previous Home Run Derby competitions have tried to put on too much of a show and it’s hindered their performance over the second half of the season. With the Orioles entering the All-Star break tied with the most wins in the American League, don’t expect Henderson to do anything to jeopardize bad habits over the second half of the season.
With pure sluggers like Pete Alonso and Marcell Ozuna in the 2024 Home Run Derby field, Selesnick doesn’t see value in Henderson at his current price. See Selesnick’s best bet for the 2024 Home Run Derby right here.
How to make 2024 Home Run Derby picks
Selesnick has analyzed the 2024 Home Run Derby field and has locked in a best bet on his “clear choice to win.” You can only get his pick and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins the MLB Home Run Derby 2024? Visit SportsLine to see Selesnick’s top 2024 Home Run Derby picks, all from the MLB expert who has returned over $2,700 on his MLB player props, and find out.
2024 MLB Home Run Derby odds, participants
See 2024 MLB Home Run Derby picks here
Pete Alonso +300
Gunnar Henderson +380
Bobby Witt Jr. +425
Marcell Ozuna +475
Adolis Garcia +575
Teoscar Hernandez +1200
Jose Ramirez +1600
Alec Bohm +2000
