2024-09-14 19:15:02
The Wisconsin football team won its first two games of the season but it turned in less-than-inspiring performances in each and failed to cover the spread as double-digit favorites.
The Badgers are in a new role on Saturday. They’re double-digit underdogs at home.
That’s not a surprise given the strength of the opponent Luke Fickell’s team is facing. Fourth-ranked Alabama is coming to Camp Randall Stadium.
Can the Badgers keep it close and maybe even pull off a shocker against one of the nation’s highest-scoring teams? The last time the Badgers played an SEC team in Wisconsin as a double-digit underdog, it stunned a top-five team in LSU at Lambeau Field.
Here are the latest odds for the Wisconsin-Alabama game:
Spread: Wisconsin +16
Money line: Alabama -790, Wisconsin +540
Total points: 48.5
Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this season, while the Badgers are 0-2. Alabama’s Week 1 game against Western Kentucky went over the 59.5-point total before last week’s Crimson Tide-South Florida game was under the 63.5 total. Both of the Badgers’ games were below the total.
You won’t find too many people or models predicting Wisconsin to beat Alabama.
ESPN’s predictor model gives Alabama a 92.2% chance of winning.
Are the Badgers ready to pull off a big upset?
Here’s where each team stands in scoring offense and defense through two games.
Led by Heisman Trophy candidate Jalen Milroe, Alabama can put up points in a flurry. The Crimson Tide has the seventh-highest scoring offense in the country at 52.5 points per game. It scored 63 points in its season-opening shutout win over Western Kentucky and then had 42 last week against South Florida, though it needed a 28-point fourth quarter to get to that total.
The Crimson Tide has allowed just eight points per game, good for 17th in scoring defense. It shut out Western Kentucky in Week 1 before allowing 16 last week to South Florida.
Wisconsin’s 27.5 points per game ranks 87th of the 133 Football Bowl Subdivision teams. It needed two fourth-quarter touchdowns to get to 28 points in Week 1 against Western Michigan and then started fast against Football Championship Subdivision South Dakota with two first-quarter TDs before cooling off in putting up 27 points in a 14-point victory.
Wisconsin’s scoring defense is ranked 40th. The Badgers allow 13.5 points per game.
The Journal Sentinel’s beat reporters have the Badgers suffering their first loss of the season to the national title contender.
Mark Stewart: Alabama 27, Wisconsin 17
JR Radcliffe: Alabama 35, Wisconsin 10
Here’s more on their predictions.
Wisconsin-Alabama reader predictions:Fans have little optimism for the Badgers in Saturday’s game
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