Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, line: 2024 Red River Rivalry picks, college football predictions from proven model

The top-ranked Texas Longhorns (5-0) will try to overcome an obstacle that has given them plenty of trouble in recent seasons when they face the No. 18 Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) in the 2024 Red River Rivalry on Saturday afternoon. Oklahoma has won five of the last six meetings in this rivalry, but it finds itself as a double-digit underdog this year. The Sooners had the week off following their 27-21 win at Auburn to wrap up September, bouncing back from a 25-15 loss to then-No. 6 Tennessee. Texas has won all of its games by at least 19 points, including a 35-13 win against Mississippi State to conclude a three-game homestand in its most recent outing.

Kickoff at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas is at 3:30 p.m. ET. The latest Oklahoma vs. Texas odds via SportsLine consensus list the Longhorns as 16.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 49. Before entering any Oklahoma vs. Texas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks since inception, and is 8-4 on top-rated picks over the past two weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Texas vs. Oklahoma. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for OU vs. Texas

• Oklahoma vs. Texas spread: Texas -16.5
• Oklahoma vs. Texas over/under: 49 points
• Oklahoma vs. Texas money line: Texas -935, Oklahoma +598
• Oklahoma vs. Texas picks: See picks here
• Oklahoma vs. Texas streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Texas can cover

Texas has established itself as the top-ranked team in college football by showcasing its talent and depth in every game this season. The Longhorns have played their last two games without star quarterback Quinn Ewers (oblique), who is going to return for this game. Ewers jumped to the forefront of the Heisman Trophy conversation early in the season, completing 73.4% of his passes for 691 yards and eight touchdowns, leading an explosive offense.

Oklahoma does not have nearly as much firepower on offense, especially since it is playing without four of its top five wide receivers due to injury. The Sooners also have a freshman quarterback under center, and he is facing a Texas defense that is allowing the second-fewest points per game (7.0) in the country. While Oklahoma has been winning most of the recent games in this rivalry, Texas has covered the spread in eight of the last 12 editions. See which team to pick here. 

Why Oklahoma can cover

Oklahoma has one of the best defenses in college football, ranked 11th in EPA per play under head coach Brent Venables. The Sooners were able to limit Ewers last season in a game that Oklahoma won 34-30. Ewers is set to see his first action in more than a month, so this is not an easy spot for him to return.

The Sooners have new life offensively under freshman quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr., who had 161 passing yards, 69 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown in the win over Auburn. Oklahoma has won seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry, including last year’s upset as a 4-point underdog. This rivalry game is almost always close, and bettors are getting more than two touchdowns with Oklahoma on Saturday afternoon. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Oklahoma vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Oklahoma 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oklahoma vs. Texas, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Oklahoma spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.