USA vs. France prediction, odds, time: 2024 Paris Olympics women’s basketball gold-medal game expert picks

The 2024 Paris Olympics wrap up on Sunday and one of the final day’s most anticipated matchups is Team USA vs. France in the gold-medal game for women’s basketball. Team USA hasn’t lost an Olympic game since the 1992 Barcelona Olympics and the Americans are looking for their 10th gold in women’s basketball. 

Tipoff is at 9:30 a.m. ET in Paris, France. The United States is a 16-point favorite in the latest USA vs. France odds, while the over/under for total points is 157. Before making any France vs. Team USA picks or 2024 Paris Olympics women’s basketball predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s Calvin Wetzel has to say.

Wetzel, HerHoopStats.com’s lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women’s hoops to turn the site’s prediction model into picks. After teaming up with Aaron Barzilai, a Ph.D. from Stanford, Wetzel is an incredible 1,385-988 (+372.33 units) on women’s college basketball picks since the start of the 2021-22 season. He’s also coming off a great 2023 season with a 238-185-1 overall record that featured a return on investment of nearly 7%. Anyone following him has seen huge returns.

Now, Wetzel has broken down Team USA vs. France from every angle and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the lines and trends for France vs. Team USA:

• Team USA vs. France spread: United States -16
• Team USA vs. France over/under: 157 points
• Team USA vs. France money line: United States -1800, France +850
• USA: Team USA is averaging 47.4 rebounds per game in the Olympics
• FRA: They average 12 steals per game
• Team USA vs. France picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Team USA can cover

The biggest advantage for Team USA is the depth of this roster. This team is able to get production from the starters and the bench. That was apparent in the semifinal win over Australia. Guard Kahleah Cooper is a three-level scorer who got it going on Friday. She racked up an Olympic-high 11 points and made two 3-pointers.

Center Brittney Griner is an additional force in the frontcourt. Griner uses her 6-foot-9 frame to pile up boards and create easy scoring opportunities. In the five Olympic games, Griner averages eight points, 4.6 rebounds and shoots 64% from the field. On Aug. 7 against Nigeria, she totaled 11 points, three rebounds, one block and shot 4-of-5 from the field. See picks at SportsLine.

Why France can cover

France has won four of its five games in the Paris Olympics. The French finished third in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and are looking to steal gold for the Americans. Forward Gabby Williams is reliable and effective in the frontcourt. Williams owns great instincts and uses her quickness to win in the pick and roll. She leads the team in points (14.8) and assists (5.4) with 4.2 rebounds per game.

The 27-year-old racked up 18 points, three rebounds and four assists in her last game. She totaled 14-plus in four straight games. Guard Marine Johannes is a smooth three-level scorer. Johannes creates off the dribble with ease and uses her floater to attack defenders. The 29-year-old puts up 12.2 points and 2.4 assists per game. In the quarterfinal win over Germany, she recorded 24 points and hit five threes. See the picks at SportsLine.

How to make France vs. Team USA picks

Wetzel has analyzed USA vs. France from every angle, and he’s leaning Under on the point total. He has also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

So who wins USA vs. France in the gold-medal game of the 2024 Paris Olympics, and what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the expert with a history of crushing his women’s basketball picks, and find out.